Match Info

League Two - Round 40

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Barnet		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.37
	2.92	3.05	2.48	Watch
	2.98	3.22	2.51
	2.8	3.11	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.9	3.13	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.73)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)	2.46 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
32.6%

Draw
29.6%

Cambridge United
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	46.7%	33.3%

Barnet - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cambridge will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Slicker C. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. (C) 25. Tavares N. 24. Crichlow-Noble R. 22. Chinedu P. 15. Glover R. 19. Shelton M. 28. Ofoborh N. 10. Stead C. 20. Tshimanga K.	1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 15. Mayor A. 14. Knight B. 7. Brophy J. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
13. Evans O. (G) 18. Hartigan A. 12. Hawkins O. 17. Howland J. 7. Jaiyesimi D. 30. Kizzi J. 33. Siaw B.	31. Briggs J. (G) 19. Lavery S. 27. McConnell G. 5. Morrison M. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B. 8. Smith K.
Coaches
Brennan D.	Harris N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Brophy J. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Collinge D. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
61', Mpanzu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
61', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
75', Ball D. ↓, McConnell G. ↑,
77', Chinedu P. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
87', Glover R. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
87', Tshimanga K. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3.

In recent matches, Barnet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Inactive) Hoddle G. (Inactive) Morrison M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Smith K. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 21.27%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
21.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet	1:3 ✺
17.03.26	Crawley Town - Barnet	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Barnet - Newport County	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Salford City - Barnet	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Barnet - Chesterfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLLW
- Cambridge United
English League Two
21.03.26	Cambridge United - Salford City	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Walsall - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cambridge United - Gillingham	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
15.11.25	Cambridge United - Barnet	0:0
English EFL Trophy
21.10.25	Barnet - Cambridge United	3:2
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Barnet - Cambridge United	2:0
English League Two
26.12.17	Cambridge United - Barnet	1:0
09.09.17	Barnet - Cambridge United	3:1
25.02.17	Barnet - Cambridge United	0:1
06.08.16	Cambridge United - Barnet	1:1

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