Match Info

League Two - Round 41

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cambridge United		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.74	3.63	5.07
	1.74	3.38	5.01	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.75
	1.74	3.44	4.86	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	4.76 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
53.5%

Draw
26.9%

Swindon Town
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Cambridge United - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 26. Gibbons J. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Brophy J. 14. Knight B. 15. Mayor A. 9. Appere L.	1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 17. Tafazolli R. 26. Batty J. 18. Kilkenny G. 7. Nichols T. 44. Oldaker D. 28. Palmer O. 24. Holman F. 23. Drinan A.
Substitutes
38. Hoddle G. 25. Hughes B. (G) 11. Kaikai S. 19. Lavery S. 5. Morrison M. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B.	6. Ball J. 31. Bodin B. 25. Borland A. 33. McGregor J. 29. Olakigbe M. 21. Scanlon J. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Harris N.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Nichols T. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Knight B. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Wright W. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
59', Nichols T. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
59', Kilkenny G. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
74', Palmer O. ↓, Scanlon J. ↑,
74', Holman F. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
81', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
81', Knight B. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
83', Borland A. 🟨,
88', Brophy J. ↓, Hoddle G. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Gibbons J. (Own goal),
90+3', Mpanzu P. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Injury) Hoddle G. (Knee Injury) Kouassi K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Hamstring Injury) Clarke O. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Hamstring Injury) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Snowdon J. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Swindon: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Swindon	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League Two
28.03.26	Barnet - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cambridge United - Salford City	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Walsall - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cambridge United - Gillingham	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWT
- Swindon Town
English League Two
28.03.26	Swindon Town - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Gillingham - Swindon Town	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Crawley Town - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.08.25	Swindon Town - Cambridge United	3:2
English League Cup
10.08.21	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	1:0 penalties
English League Two
26.12.19	Swindon Town - Cambridge United	4:0
21.09.19	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	0:1
19.04.19	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	0:0
23.10.18	Swindon Town - Cambridge United	0:2
17.03.18	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	1:3

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