The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 27.2%
Draw 27.4%
Mansfield Town 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
27.2%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
28.5%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
9.1%
54.5%
Cambridge United - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Marosi M. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 5. Morrison M. (C) 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 24. Cousins J. 7. Brophy J. 3. Andrew D. 10. Kachunga E. 22. Stokes J. 18. Loft R.
1. Pym C. (G) 5. Kilgour A. (C) 14. Flint A. 23. Oshilaja A. 4. Hewitt E. 17. Baccus K. 25. Reed L. 8. Lewis A. 22. Blake-Tracy F. 11. Evans W. 7. Akins L.
Substitutes
36. Barton D. 4. Digby P. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 26. Gibbons J. 34. Njoku B. 15. Okedina J. 1. Stevens J. (G)
44. Boateng H. 6. Cargill B. 13. Flinders S. (G) 19. Gregory L. 10. Maris G. 3. McLaughlin S. 21. Waine B.
Coaches
Monk G.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Morrison M. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Stokes J. (Pen),
40', Marosi M. ↓, Stevens J. ↑,
45+2', Hewitt E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 3 - 0, Loft R. ⚽, Watts K. (A),
55', Hewitt E. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
55', Reed L. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
56', Lewis A. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Maris G. ⚽,
65', Evans W. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
71', Loft R. ↓, Digby P. ↑,
72', Digby P. 🟨,
82', Bennett L. ↓, Okedina J. ↑,
82', Andrew D. ↓, Gibbons J. ↑,
83', Kachunga E. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
83', Akins L. ↓, Gregory L. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Gregory L. (Pen),
90+1', Stevens J. 🟨,
90+3', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.
Cambridge has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Mansfield is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Mansfield will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:21 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.4:1.3).