Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cambridge United		Millwall

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.30	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.35
	3.00	3.35	2.30	Watch
	2.99	3.36	2.52
	3.39	3.36	2.17	Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.45
	2.94	3.38	2.50	Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.49)	3.36 ↓ (3.38)	2.39 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
31.7%

Draw
28.4%

Millwall
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27.9%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.4%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millwall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millwall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	23.8%	57.1%

Cambridge United - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Millwall will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 25%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Cambridge (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 40%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 5. Bauer P. 6. Watts K. 22. Bradshaw Z. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Heath I. 27. McConnell G. 11. Kaikai S. 14. Ahadme G.	15. Crocombe M. (G) 23. Batth D. 5. Cooper J. (C) 12. Baggott E. 44. Massey A. 2. Osei-Tutu J. 31. Bangura-Williams R. 25. Cundle L. 16. Kelly D. 29. Lovelace Z. 13. Dykes L.
Substitutes
9. Appere L. 31. Briggs J. (G) 33. Fraser D. 25. Hughes B. (G) 23. Jobe M. 19. Lavery S. 30. McDougald L. 3. Perry C.	43. Coleman J. (G) 55. Crama T. 48. Kirby A. 28. Matthews A. 14. Metcalfe J. 10. Neghli C. 3. Sturge Z. 17. Sykes M. 51. Vieira S. T.
Coaches
Harris N.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Cooper J. ⚽, Lovelace Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ahadme G. ↓, Appere L. ↑,
50', Bauer P. 🟨,
55', Bauer P. ↓, Perry C. ↑,
63', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
63', Kelly D. ↓, Metcalfe J. ↑,
64', Lovelace Z. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
64', Ball D. ↓, Fraser D. ↑,
64', Kaikai S. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
70', Batth D. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
78', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
87', McConnell G. 🟨,
89', Heath I. ↓, McDougald L. ↑,

Preview

Cambridge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Millwall is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Millwall could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Millwall - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.2%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
22.08.26	Bromley - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Cambridge United - Barnet	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Norwich City - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
28.07.26	Cambridge United - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWTT
- Millwall
English League Championship
22.08.26	Millwall - Norwich City	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bristol City - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Millwall - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Bromley - Millwall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
02.08.22	Cambridge United - Millwall	1:0
24.08.21	Millwall - Cambridge United	3:1
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Cambridge United - Millwall	0:2

Upcoming Matches