The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 51.4%
Draw 25.1%
Northampton Town 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
23.7%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
23.2%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Cambridge United - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Gabe Breeze (G) 15. Heffernan C. 5. Bauer P. 6. Watts K. (C) 22. Bradshaw Z. 38. Hoddle G. 17. Mpanzu P. 11. Kaikai S. 44. Bangura-Williams R. 7. Heath I. 14. Ahadme G.
1. Jeacock Z. (G) 44. Donacien J. 6. Moore E. (C) 22. Powell J. 20. Briggs L. 16. Wormleighton J. 8. Evans L. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 19. Dale O. 9. Warhurst M.
Substitutes
4. Ball D. 33. Herd D. 25. Hughes B. (G) 10. Knight B. 19. Lavery S. 27. McConnell G. 8. Moxon O.
31. Dadge J. (G) 35. Dyche M. 5. Guthrie J. 7. Hoskins S. 10. List E. 17. Opoku N. 11. Swyer K.
Coaches
Harris N.
Hogg C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Mpanzu P. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hoddle G. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
46', Donacien J. ↓, Guthrie J. ↑,
46', Evans L. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
46', Briggs L. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Warhurst M. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Ahadme G. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Bauer P. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
62', Kaikai S. ↓, Knight B. ↑,
63', Ahadme G. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
72', Powell J. 🟨,
72', Warhurst M. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
72', Dale O. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
73', Watts K. 🟨,
78', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Herd D. ↑,
82', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 0.
Cambridge is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Northampton have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cambridge may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Cambridge for this game.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Cambridge has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:21 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cambridge against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now
Cambridge Utd: 0.8% Northampton: 0.64%
Last Results with these Odds
Northampton Town - the odds 4.88 are the expected chance of winning is 19.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Gabe Breeze (G) 
Heffernan C. 
Bauer P. 
Mpanzu P. 
Kaikai S. 
Ahadme G. 
Donacien J. 
Evans L. 
Lavery S. 
Opoku N. 
