The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 53.4%
Draw 26.3%
Newport County 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
26.5%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
25.8%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Newport County aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Northampton Town - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Wormleighton J. 6. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 3. Maxwell J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 14. Fornah T. 26. Chambers S. 17. Opoku N. 32. Saunders H.
1. Wright J. (G) 22. Norman C. 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. (C) 16. Jacob M. 24. Dibley-Dias M. 6. Brennan C. 20. Bamba Y. 10. Biggins H. 7. Evans K. 9. Gwengwe S.
Substitutes
20. Briggs L. 19. Dale O. 35. Dyche M. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 7. Hoskins S. 22. Powell J. 9. Warhurst M.
23. Adu Poku M. 2. Evans C. 19. Garner G. 21. Nyakuhwa T. 34. Sassi D. 12. Thomas J. 25. Turner J. (G)
Coaches
Hogg C.
Mullins H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Chambers S. ↓, Warhurst M. ↑,
55', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Briggs L. ↑,
60', Warhurst M. 🟨,
64', Evans K. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
70', Jacob M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
71', Wormleighton J. 🟨,
79', Saunders H. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
79', Opoku N. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
83', Bamba Y. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
83', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
83', Gwengwe S. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
86', Evans C. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ⚽,
90+3', Briggs L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, Northampton is the team to beat.
There will not play in Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Evans L.
(Red Card)
Perkins J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newport: Crole J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Northampton: Donacien J.
(Inactive)
List E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Jacob M.
(Hip Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Northampton: 2.23% Newport: 0.48%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Newport
9
2
4
3
12:12
0
10
22
Northampton
7
1
3
3
3:6
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Newport County - the odds 4.41 are the expected chance of winning is 20.87%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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Jeacock Z. (G) 
Maxwell J. 
Lemonheigh-Evans C. 
O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 
Fornah T. 
Opoku N. 
Dibley-Dias M. 
Bamba Y. 
