The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 52%
Draw 25.6%
Crawley Town 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
25.8%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
25%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Northampton Town - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Wormleighton J. 6. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 3. Maxwell J. 7. Hoskins S. 8. Evans L. 14. Fornah T. 20. Briggs L. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 17. Opoku N.
31. Izquierdo J. (G) 24. Odimayo A. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Barker C. 22. Adeyemo A. 17. Kamara O. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 25. Krasniqi K. 27. Morgan D. 8. Watson L. 11. Aderoju O.
Substitutes
26. Chambers S. 35. Dyche M. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 22. Powell J. 32. Saunders H. 9. Warhurst M.
14. Di Biase G. 35. Ewens-Findlay T. 13. Michalski N. (G) 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 19. Pereira D. 16. Russell J. 28. Tinsdale N.
Coaches
Hogg C.
Kazim-Richards C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Opoku N. ⚽, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. (A),
42', Krasniqi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Evans L. 🟥,
60', Arthurs J. 🟨,
65', Aderoju O. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
65', Morgan D. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Pereira D. ⚽,
68', O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
76', Odimayo A. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
81', Hoskins S. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
81', Opoku N. ↓, Saunders H. ↑,
87', Krasniqi K. ↓, Tinsdale N. ↑,
87', Watson L. ↓, Di Biase G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
Northampton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Crawley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Northampton is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Crawley: Ebiowei M.
(Red Card)
Gordon K.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Crawley: Mannone V.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Northampton: 1.25%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
23
Northampton
8
1
4
3
4:7
-3
7
24
Crawley
8
1
2
5
8:15
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Crawley Town - the odds 4.21 are the expected chance of winning is 21.78%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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Jeacock Z. (G) 
Maxwell J. 
Evans L. 
Fornah T. 
O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 
Opoku N. 
Di Biase G. 
Pereira D. 
Russell J. 
Kazim-Richards C. 
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