Match Info

League One - Round 39

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Exeter City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.9	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.82
	4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4.14	3.32	1.92	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.95
	4.21	3.4	1.92	Watch
	4	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.47)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
22.7%

Draw
28%

Wrexham
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.7%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Exeter City - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 20. Turns E. 25. MacDonald A. 4. Hartridge A. 2. McMillan J. 23. Colwill J. 21. Trevitt R. 3. Purrington B. 16. Jones P. 30. Yogane T. 27. Magennis J. (C)	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
12. Cole R. 19. Cox S. 8. Francis E. 18. Harper V. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 14. Niskanen I. 17. Watts C.	29. Barnett R. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Rathbone O. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
67', Purrington B. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
67', Colwill J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
67', Yogane T. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
72', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
78', Jones P. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
78', Magennis J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
83', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
87', Cole R. 🟨,
87', Smith S. ↓, Lee E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

There will not play in Exeter: Fitzwater J. (Inactive) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C. (Thigh Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
22.03.25	Lincoln City - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Rotherham United - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Exeter City - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Exeter City - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Reading - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TTWWT
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
22.03.25	Wrexham - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Reading - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Wrexham - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Huddersfield Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.11.24	Wrexham - Exeter City	3:0

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