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Current Win Probability
Wrexham 39.8%
Draw 30.5%
Stockport County 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
29.8%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
29.5%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
38.9%
11.1%
Wrexham - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Stockport will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 35.2% โ 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.
34. Addai C. (G) 33. Hills B. 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 2. Knoyle K. 8. Camps C. 4. Bate L. (C) 3. Touray I. 14. Collar W. 19. Wootton K. 9. Olaofe I.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.
27. Bailey O. 7. Diamond J. 10. Fevrier J. 6. Horsfall F. 25. Metcalfe M. (G) 21. Moxon O. 26. Norwood O.
Coaches
Parkinson P.
Challinor D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Dobson G. 🟨,
20', Camps C. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
24', Hills B. 🟨,
29', Rodriguez J. (Pen),
29', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
31', McClean J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', O'Connell E. 🟨,
67', Connolly C. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
67', Touray I. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
69', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
70', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
75', Dobson G. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
79', Collar W. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', Hills B. 🟨,
81', Smith S. 🟨,
86', Fletcher S. 🟨,
87', Okonkwo A. 🟨,
88', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
90+4', Rathbone O. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3.
Wrexham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Stockport is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Stockport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L.
(Inactive)
Boyle W.
(Inactive)
Cannon A.
(Inactive)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Stockport: Horsfall F.
(Injury)
Powell N.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Barnett R.
(Inactive)
Burton C.
(Thigh Injury)
Revan S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Stockport: Bailey O.
(Inactive)
Diamond J.
(Inactive)
Hinchliffe B.
(Muscle Injury)
Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:22 (average 1.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 2.4:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Wrexham - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.