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Current Win Probability
Willem II 37%
Draw 25.8%
Cambuur 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
25.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
26.9%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
14.3%
71.4%
Willem II - Cambuur Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Cambuur will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 23. Dekker M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Twigt C. 52. Vilhena T. 7. Slory J. 19. van Aalst U. 32. van Crooij V. 9. Haen D.
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. (C) 14. van Duijl B. 28. Costarelli M. 33. Maertens M. 8. Souren N. 30. Ceka J. 10. El Arguioui R. 11. Hamache I. 13. Binder N.
Substitutes
8. Boogaard K. 2. Ciranni A. 11. Culum A. 26. Delanghe M. (G) 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 50. Gurbuz E. 83. Lemmens M. 17. Obi C. 10. Schuurman J. 28. Verheydt T. 18. Zarrouk A.
17. Apkakou E. 3. Berkhout J. 7. Bouhoudane S. 29. Henstra I. 23. Jetten L. 24. Kalisvaart M. (G) 27. Kooistra W. 15. Kvam F. 22. Plogmann L. (G) 18. van der Heide W. 9. Vink S. 45. Vogelzang B.
Coaches
Koster A.
Plat J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Binder N. ⚽, Costarelli M. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Hamache I. ⚽, Costarelli M. (A),
18', 0 - 3, Baouf I. ⚽, El Arguioui R. (A),
45+2', Slory J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Vilhena T. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
46', Dekker M. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
46', van Crooij V. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
53', ter Avest H. 🟨,
58', 0 - 4, Binder N. ⚽, Hamache I. (A),
62', 0 - 5, El Arguioui R. ⚽,
65', Maertens M. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
65', Costarelli M. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
65', van Duijl B. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
68', Slory J. ↓, Lemmens M. ↑,
72', Mulders R. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
77', Binder N. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
82', 1 - 5, Zarrouk A. ⚽, Haen D. (A),
89', 1 - 6, Ceka J. ⚽, Kooistra W. (A),
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Eerste Divisie and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 0.
Willem II has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cambuur shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Willem II has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Willem II: Culum A.
(Foot Injury)
Didillon Hodl T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hoogma J.
(Knee Injury)
Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
van der Steen W.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Cambuur: Amofa J.
(Injury)
Asselman W.
(Injury)
Bouah D.
(Red Card)
Visser D.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Willem II has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:12 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Willem II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Cambuur
10
3
3
4
19:22
-3
12
18
Willem II
10
0
2
8
10:32
-22
2
Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now
Cambuur: 0.08% Willem II: 0.06%
Last Results with these Odds
Willem II - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Didillon Hodl T. (G) 
ter Avest H. (C) 
Tjoe a On N. 
Baouf I. (C) 
Maertens M. 
Souren N. 
Ceka J. 
Binder N. 
Culum A. 
Obi C. 
Kvam F. 
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