The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NEC Nijmegen 43.2%
Draw 24.2%
Go Ahead Eagles 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
21.1%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
20.3%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NEC Nijmegen's form might have worsened.
Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Go Ahead Eagles's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Polster N. (G) 73. Bras G. 4. Schuurs P. 21. Storm T. 34. Kers K. 6. Nejasmic D. 20. Lebreton N. 77. Thomas A. 9. Chery T. (C) 10. Tadic D. 30. Linssen B.
1. Haug K. (G) 2. Sampsted A. 26. Dirksen J. 4. Kramer J. (C) 5. James D. 21. Meulensteen M. 8. Linthorst E. 10. Tengstedt S. 16. Edvardsen V. 17. Suray M. 9. Sigurdarson S. I.
Substitutes
36. Entius F. (G) 18. Geiger D. 38. Geneste J. (G) 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 66. Kabar A. 35. Monteiro J. 42. Moslih Y. 17. Nuytinck B. 14. Sierhuis K. 19. Tahaui A. 37. van de Wiel M. 11. Willumsson W. T.
23. Baeten T. 29. Flataker E. 27. Galvez T. 6. Jukic T. 18. Margaret R. 22. Marsman N. (G) 3. Nauber G. 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 15. Weijenberg R.
Coaches
Schreuder D.
Oosting J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Schuurs P. ⚽, Chery T. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Sigurdarson S. I. ⚽,
31', Tengstedt S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Schuurs P. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
60', Kers K. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
69', Sampsted A. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
69', Dirksen J. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
71', Lebreton N. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,
71', Thomas A. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
77', Baeten T. 🟨,
83', Tengstedt S. ↓, Galvez T. ↑,
89', Suray M. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
89', Edvardsen V. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
Nijmegen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Go Ahead have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Go Ahead could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nijmegen holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Nijmegen: Fonville D.
(Ankle Injury)
Kaplan A.
(Knee Injury)
Mor E.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Go Ahead: Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Nijmegen: Bischoff C.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nijmegen has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:36 (averaging 1.7:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nijmegen against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 23:19 goals (averaging 1.9:1.6 per game).