Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Cambuur		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	8	Watch
	1.27	5.9	8.3
	1.28	5.87	7.61	Watch
	1.28	5.65	8.65	Watch
	1.29	5.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.28)	5.79 ↓ (5.87)	7.99 ↑ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
72.5%

Draw
15.9%

Jong Ajax
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

15.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Cambuur - Jong Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 25. Marsman B. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 8. Souren N. 7. Balk R. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 18. Rolke T. 11. Sjostrand O.	1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Alders G. 3. Bouwman A. 4. van der Lans M. 5. Butera E. 6. Peters T. 10. Chourak N. (C) 8. Steur S. 7. O'Niel D. 9. Vink S. 11. Wolff K.
Substitutes
3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. 27. Kooistra W. 21. Meijster J. (G) 46. Nap J. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.	16. Jetten L. 21. Kalokoh D. 19. Messori L. 15. Muzungu M. 22. Ouazane Z. 12. Setford C. (G) 18. van der Vaart D. 17. Verkuijl M.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Weijs W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Marsman B. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Chourak N. ⚽, Peters T. (A),
23', 2 - 1, Rolke T. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
39', Wolff K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Vink S. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Sjostrand O. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
67', Butera E. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
67', Chourak N. ↓, Verkuijl M. ↑,
67', O'Niel D. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
72', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
72', Souren N. ↓, Nap J. ↑,
77', Rolke T. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
78', Marsman B. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
79', Vink S. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
79', Alders G. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
90', Sjostrand O. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, Henstra I. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 1.

Cambuur has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jong Ajax is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cambuur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cambuur is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:2 ✺
17.10.25	Almere City - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cambuur - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Cambuur - Emmen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWW
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Jong Ajax - Emmen	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Jong Ajax - Jong PSV	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Waalwijk - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.02.25	Jong Ajax - Cambuur	1:1
13.09.24	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	0:1
15.04.24	Jong Ajax - Cambuur	2:1
25.08.23	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	4:2
19.02.21	Jong Ajax - Cambuur	1:1
07.11.20	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	2:3
13.12.19	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	0:2

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