Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Campobasso		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.5
	2.09	3.18	3.39	Watch
	1.95	3	3.5
	1.98	3.37	3.73	Watch
	2	3.14	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.33)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	3.58 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Campobasso
45.6%

Draw
28.8%

Carpi
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Campobasso's performance.

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Campobasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Campobasso - Carpi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Campobasso (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 4. Celesia C. 13. Armini N. 2. Papini F. 18. Pierno R. 5. Gargiulo M. 6. Brunet J. 10. Gala A. 20. Martina A. 14. Bifulco A. 7. Padula C.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 6. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 2. Verza N. 80. Pietra N. 29. Rosetti M. 3. Rigo M. 11. Casarini F. 10. Stanzani L. 9. Gerbi E.
Substitutes
8. Cerretelli F. 27. Cristallo C. 32. Di Livio L. 17. Lombari A. 9. Magnaghi S. 75. Parisi F. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 11. Sarr A. M. 36. Serra A. 76. Zaccaria M.	8. Amayah P. 70. Arcopinto A. 7. Cecotti T. 20. Forte R. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 91. Puletto F. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 16. Tcheuna R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Bifulco A. ⚽,
45+1', Celesia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Padula C. ↓, Sarr A. M. ↑,
46', Verza N. ↓, Tcheuna R. ↑,
59', Rosetti M. ↓, Puletto F. ↑,
60', Puletto F. 🟨,
61', Gala A. 🟨,
70', Rossini M. 🟨,
72', Stanzani L. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
74', Pierno R. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Bifulco A. ⚽,
80', Gala A. ↓, Di Livio L. ↑,
88', Rossini M. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
90+1', Bifulco A. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
90+1', Armini N. ↓, Serra A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Campobasso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carpi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Campobasso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Campobasso	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.26	Sassari Torres - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Campobasso - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ascoli - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Campobasso - Perugia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bra - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWTWL
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.26	Carpi - Pianese	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Juventus U23 - Carpi	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Carpi - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Forlì - Carpi	4:2 ✺
08.12.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.25	Carpi - Campobasso	2:2
22.03.25	Campobasso - Carpi	2:1
10.11.24	Carpi - Campobasso	0:0

Upcoming Matches