Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Carpi		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.82
	2.38	3.2	2.87
	2.44	3.06	2.86	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.41	2.96	2.87	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)	3.04 ↓ (3.55)	2.85 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
37.8%

Draw
30.1%

Guidonia Montecelio
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

25.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Carpi - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 19. Rossini M. 33. Pitti E. 16. Tcheuna R. 5. Figoli M. 80. Pietra N. 7. Cecotti T. 72. Cortesi M. 11. Casarini F. 23. Sall A.	1. Stellato G. (G) 66. Vitturini D. 5. Cristini A. 2. Esempio S. 77. Zappella D. 99. Tessiore A. 21. Mastrantonio V. 14. Santoro S. 8. Errico A. 32. Zuppel D. 20. Falleni A.
Substitutes
70. Arcopinto A. 20. Forte R. 9. Gerbi E. 17. Lombardi L. 6. Panelli T. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 3. Rigo M. 29. Rosetti M. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 26. Toure M. 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.	31. Bafaro 18. Calzone S. 30. Chiappini A. 80. Franchini S. 11. Marchioro R. 12. Mazzi G. (G) 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 17. Stefanelli F. 4. Toma R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Stellato G. (Own goal),
7', 1 - 1, Zuppel D. ⚽,
32', Errico A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Cortesi M. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
59', Falleni A. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
62', Figoli M. 🟨,
65', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
69', Sall A. ↓, Gerbi E. ↑,
82', Figoli M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
82', Cecotti T. ↓, Panelli T. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.25	Forlì - Carpi	4:2 ✺
08.12.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Carpi - Rimini	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pineto - Carpi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWL
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
14.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Ternana - Guidonia Montecelio	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWTL

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