Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Campobasso		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.65	Watch
	2	3.2	3.87
	1.97	3.22	3.71	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	1.97	3.08	3.72	Watch
	2	3.14	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.16)	3.11 ↓ (3.32)	3.73 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
46.1%

Draw
29.4%

Livorno
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Livorno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Campobasso - Livorno Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.69) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 2. Papini F. 4. Celesia C. 31. Salines E. 18. Pierno R. 10. Gala A. 5. Gargiulo M. 6. Brunet J. 20. Martina A. 11. Sarr A. M. 14. Bifulco A.	12. Seghetti J. (G) 15. Ghezzi S. 29. Tosto L. 5. Camporese M. 54. Falasco N. 28. Hamlili Z. 44. Bonassi L. 7. Luperini G. 55. Peralta D. 13. Di Carmine S. 11. Malagrida L.
Substitutes
34. Agazzi D. 27. Cristallo C. 32. Di Livio L. 22. Forte F. (G) 79. Lancini E. 17. Lombari A. 9. Magnaghi S. 3. Olivieri E. 7. Padula C. 75. Parisi F. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A.	49. Baldi L. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 9. Dionisi F. 20. Haveri K. 95. Marchesi F. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 26. Noce M. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 1. Tani F. (G) 19. Vayrynen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Bonassi L. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Malagrida L. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Bonassi L. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Brunet J. ⚽,
45+2', Di Carmine S. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Di Carmine S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Di Carmine S. ↓, Vayrynen T. ↑,
46', Peralta D. ↓, Marchesi F. ↑,
46', Sarr A. M. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
46', Celesia C. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
62', Gargiulo M. ↓, Di Livio L. ↑,
64', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
70', Tosto L. 🟨,
73', Ghezzi S. ↓, Mawete J. C. ↑,
73', Malagrida L. ↓, Dionisi F. ↑,
76', Pierno R. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
80', Seghetti J. 🟨,
85', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
90+2', Brunet J. ↓, Agazzi D. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Campobasso might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Campobasso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14
8	Campobasso	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Gubbio - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Campobasso - Pontedera	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Pineto - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Campobasso - Carpi	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sassari Torres - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWT
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Livorno - Bra	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Ascoli - Livorno	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Livorno - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Livorno - Campobasso	0:0

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