Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Livorno		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3	3.2	Watch
	2.34	3.05	3.47
	2.24	3	3.26	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.24	2.82	3.33	Watch
	2.33	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)	2.9 ↓ (3.12)	3.29 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
40.5%

Draw
31.6%

Vis Pesaro
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Livorno - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 2. Gentile D. 26. Noce M. 49. Baldi L. 54. Falasco N. 7. Luperini G. 28. Hamlili Z. 95. Marchesi F. 55. Peralta D. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 15. Ceccacci M. 13. Primasso A. 3. Zoia R. 99. Ventre A. 24. Berengo N. 7. Pucciarelli M. 21. Vezzoni F. 10. Di Paola M. 28. Machin J. 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
19. Antoni E. 14. Biondi K. 44. Bonassi L. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 20. Haveri K. 15. Malagrida L. 23. Marinari J. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)	77. Ascione S. 27. Bastianelli R. 30. Beghetto A. 33. Bocs R. 6. Di Renzo G. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 22. Fratti D. (G) 20. Giovannini R. 16. Guarnone A. (G) 55. Mariani E. 2. Piras M. 66. Podrini 70. Rizza A. 11. Stabile D. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. (Penalty Awarded),
16', Pucciarelli M. 🟨,
27', Gentile D. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Ceccacci M. 🟨,
60', Berengo N. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
61', Machin J. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
61', Ventre A. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
65', Luperini G. 🟨,
69', Dionisi F. ↓, Biondi K. ↑,
69', Peralta D. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
75', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Malagrida L. ⚽,
81', Ceccacci M. ↓, Bocs R. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Stabile D. P. ⚽,
88', Falasco N. 🟨,
88', Stabile D. P. 🟨,
89', Di Carmine S. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
89', Hamlili Z. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
90+1', Marchesi F. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Livorno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
17.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Ternana - Livorno	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Livorno - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLTW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
16.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
15.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Livorno	3:0

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