Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Ascoli		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.55	5.7	Watch
	1.71	3.6	5.41
	1.67	3.39	5.15	Watch
	1.53	3.25	5.75
	1.6	3.54	6.24	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	3.47 ↓ (3.77)	5.76 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
57.4%

Draw
26.6%

Livorno
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ascoli - Livorno Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 80. Corradini G. 11. Oviszach E. 14. Galuppini F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.	12. Seghetti J. (G) 77. Mawete J. C. 26. Noce M. 49. Baldi L. 20. Haveri K. 7. Luperini G. 28. Hamlili Z. 95. Marchesi F. 14. Biondi K. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 27. Cozzoli F. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 2. Pagliai G. 28. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 7. Silipo A. 60. Zagari R.	19. Antoni E. 44. Bonassi L. 5. Camporese M. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 15. Ghezzi S. 11. Malagrida L. 23. Marinari J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Gori G. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, Baldi L. ⚽,
34', 3 - 1, Gori G. ⚽,
41', Curado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
46', Haveri K. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
52', Galuppini F. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
58', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
62', Oviszach E. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
63', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
65', Biondi K. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
76', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
81', Luperini G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ascoli is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.26	Ascoli - Perugia	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Juventus U23 - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Pianese - Ascoli	4:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ascoli - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLT
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.26	Livorno - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Ternana - Livorno	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Livorno - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3
Italian Serie B
01.02.20	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3
14.09.19	Ascoli - Livorno	2:0
10.03.19	Ascoli - Livorno	1:1
27.10.18	Livorno - Ascoli	1:0
14.05.16	Ascoli - Livorno	1:3
23.12.15	Livorno - Ascoli	1:3

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