Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX


	Pineto		Campobasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	2.88	3	Watch
	2.66	2.8	3.02
	2.36	2.89	3.15	Watch
	2.45	2.7	2.88
	2.51	3.03	2.93	Watch
	2.6	2.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.16)	2.84 ↓ (3.18)	3 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
36.8%

Draw
32.4%

Campobasso
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Pineto - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 3. Ienco S. 16. Gagliardi L. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 11. Borsoi M. 99. Pellegrino A. 9. D'Andrea F. 24. Vigliotti G.	1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 4. Celesia C. 79. Lancini E. 2. Papini F. 18. Pierno R. 5. Gargiulo M. 6. Brunet J. 20. Martina A. 10. Gala A. 14. Bifulco A. 9. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 19. Biggi S. 77. Boccacci F. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 68. Menna T. 28. Nebuloso G. 5. Schirone L. 23. Serbouti A. 18. Viero F.	13. Armini N. 8. Cerretelli F. 27. Cristallo C. 32. Di Livio L. 17. Lombari A. 50. Muzi C. (G) 75. Parisi F. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 31. Salines E. 11. Sarr A. M. 36. Serra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, D'Andrea F. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Germinario G. 🟨,
33', Tantalocchi E. 🟥,
37', Lancini E. ↓, Rizzo M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Magnaghi S. ↓, Di Livio L. ↑,
46', Pierno R. ↓, Salines E. ↑,
46', Borsoi M. ↓, Schirone L. ↑,
54', Gala A. 🟨,
69', Vigliotti G. ↓, Biggi S. ↑,
69', Ienco S. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
71', Gala A. ↓, Sarr A. M. ↑,
79', Brunet J. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
85', Germinario G. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+2', Di Livio L. 🟨,
90+3', Pellegrino A. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Pineto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pineto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Campobasso	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12
16	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
18.01.26	Pontedera - Pineto	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio	3:3 ✺
03.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Pineto - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Arezzo - Pineto	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TTWWT
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
17.01.26	Campobasso - Carpi	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sassari Torres - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Campobasso - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ascoli - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Campobasso - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Campobasso - Pineto	0:1
02.03.25	Campobasso - Pineto	1:3
21.10.24	Pineto - Campobasso	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.06.21	Pineto - Campobasso	3:2
02.05.21	Campobasso - Pineto	2:1
02.02.20	Campobasso - Pineto	3:3
29.09.19	Pineto - Campobasso	1:0

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