Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Perugia		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.24	3.1	3.42
	2.26	3.08	3.35
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.13	3.15	3.21	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)	3.13 ↑ (2.99)	3.17 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
41.6%

Draw
29.4%

Lucchese
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

31%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Perugia - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. (C) 5. Angella G. 13. Amoran P. 98. Giraudo F. 6. Giunti G. 16. Bartolomei P. 17. Cisco A. 20. Ricci F. 23. Lisi F. 11. Seghetti A.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 14. Quirini E. 6. Gasbarro A. 33. Sabbione A. 30. Gemignani A. 8. Tumbarello G. 24. Welbeck N. 31. Catanese G. 29. Antoni E. 70. Saporiti E. 18. Sasanelli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Quirini E. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Lisi F. ⚽,
28', Sabbione A. 🟨,
38', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
45+1', Sabbione A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Gemignani A. ↓, Dumbravanu D. ↑,
46', Gasbarro A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
48', Giraudo F. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Ricci F. ⚽,
62', Ricci F. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
62', Seghetti A. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
63', Mezzoni F. 🟨,
65', Sasanelli L. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
65', Welbeck N. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
68', Bacchin L. 🟥,
74', Lisi F. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
74', Cisco A. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Di Maggio L. ⚽,
82', Antoni E. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Mezzoni F. ⚽,
86', Mezzoni F. ↓, Squarzoni S. A. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Perugia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lucchese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.24	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	0:0 ✺
26.09.24	Perugia - Rimini	1:4 ✺
23.09.24	Pescara - Perugia	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Perugia - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Carpi - Perugia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTTL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.24	Lucchese - Milan Futuro	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	Lucchese - Pianese	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Ascoli - Lucchese	1:2 ✺
16.09.24	Lucchese - Rimini	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	SPAL - Lucchese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.01.24	Perugia - Lucchese	3:0
01.09.23	Lucchese - Perugia	0:0

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