Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
World	FIFA+


	Campobasso		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.75
	2.04	3.14	3.61	Watch
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.07	3.13	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
44.7%

Draw
29.5%

Potenza
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Campobasso - Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 4. Celesia C. 31. Salines E. 79. Lancini E. 27. Cristallo C. 10. Gala A. 34. Agazzi D. 5. Gargiulo M. 20. Martina A. 9. Magnaghi S. 14. Bifulco A.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 3. Rocchetti Y. 5. Lucas Martello 31. Siatounis A. 8. Castorani M. 10. D'Auria G. 9. Murano J. 21. Schimmenti E.
Substitutes
6. Brunet J. 8. Cerretelli F. 32. Di Livio L. 22. Forte F. (G) 17. Lombari A. 3. Olivieri E. 7. Padula C. 2. Papini F. 75. Parisi F. 18. Pierno R. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 11. Sarr A. M. 36. Serra A.	98. Adjapong C. 19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 7. Delle Monache M. 23. De Marco A. 27. Erradi B. 1. Franchi D. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 6. Loiacono G. 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', Celesia C. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Lucas Martello (Penalty Awarded),
29', 0 - 2, D'Auria G. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Siatounis A. ⚽,
42', Salines E. ↓, Papini F. ↑,
45', Siatounis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Celesia C. ↓, Pierno R. ↑,
46', Magnaghi S. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
71', Murano J. ↓, Erradi B. ↑,
76', Agazzi D. ↓, Lombari A. ↑,
82', Lancini E. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
84', Lucas Martello ↓, De Marco A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Campobasso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Potenza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Campobasso might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Campobasso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Potenza - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.45%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group A
06.05.26	Campobasso - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Campobasso - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Perugia - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Campobasso - Bra	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Pianese - Campobasso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 TWWTW
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Potenza - Monopoli	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Catania - Potenza	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Potenza - Sorrento	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Casarano - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.04.26	Latina - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.04.22	Campobasso - Potenza	1:1
19.12.21	Potenza - Campobasso	0:1

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