The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 42.5%
Draw 29.2%
Campobasso 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
28%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
29%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Perugia - Campobasso Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Campobasso will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 5. Angella G. 13. Stramaccioni D. 31. Tozzuolo A. 32. Megelaitis L. 21. Ladinetti R. 20. Tumbarello G. 11. Bacchin L. 9. Montevago D. 90. Nepi A.
1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 31. Salines E. 79. Lancini E. 4. Celesia C. 27. Cristallo C. 10. Gala A. 34. Agazzi D. 5. Gargiulo M. 20. Martina A. 14. Bifulco A. 9. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
16. Bartolomei P. 98. Bolsius D. 10. Canotto L. 2. Esculino I. 4. Joselito 12. Moro L. (G) 99. Nwanege K. 73. Polizzi M. 28. Riccardi D. 55. Strappini S. (G) 17. Terrnava D. 24. Verre V.
6. Brunet J. 8. Cerretelli F. 32. Di Livio L. 22. Forte F. (G) 17. Lombari A. 3. Olivieri E. 75. Parisi F. 18. Pierno R. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Stramaccioni D. ↓, Riccardi D. ↑,
28', Gargiulo M. 🟨,
32', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Gargiulo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Angella G. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
46', Nepi A. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
46', Martina A. ↓, Olivieri E. ↑,
49', Bacchin L. 🟨,
59', Agazzi D. 🟨,
61', Tumbarello G. 🟨,
63', Salines E. 🟨,
67', Cristallo C. ↓, Pierno R. ↑,
68', Bifulco A. ↓, Brunet J. ↑,
70', Ladinetti R. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
76', Magnaghi S. ↓, Lombari A. ↑,
86', Gala A. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
87', Tumbarello G. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).
In recent matches, Perugia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Campobasso is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Perugia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Perugia
8
4
1
3
9:12
-3
13
8
Campobasso
8
3
3
2
12:11
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Perugia - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.01%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.