Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 35

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Casarano		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.65	4.05	Watch
	1.79	3.68	4.21
	1.76	3.7	4.01	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.74	3.5	4.18	Watch
	2.04	3.4	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.05)	3.54 ↑ (3.42)	3.93 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
50.8%

Draw
25.9%

Potenza
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	13%	0%

Casarano - Potenza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Casarano (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Casarano (4.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Casarano (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Casarano will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casarano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 25. Bachini M. 10. Chirico C. 11. Ferrara V. 3. Giraudo F. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V. 17. Maiello R. 33. Mercadante M. 7. Palumbo F. 27. Versienti L.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 23. De Marco A. 27. Erradi B. 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 30. Petrungaro L. 14. Riggio C. 70. Selleri G.
Substitutes
77. Cajazzo I. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 24. Gega E. 34. Negro S. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.	15. Camigliano A. 8. Castorani M. 10. D'Auria G. 22. Franchi D. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 5. Lucas Martello 9. Murano J. 20. Ragone G. 3. Rocchetti Y. 21. Schimmenti E. 31. Siatounis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ferrara V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Ferrara V. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
60', Palumbo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
65', Petrungaro L. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
65', Erradi B. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
66', D'Alena A. 🟨,
71', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
71', 🟨,
74', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
77', Schimmenti E. 🟨,
78', Grandolfo F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Chirico C. ⚽,
83', Maisto F. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Adjapong C. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Casarano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Casarano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
29.03.26	Casarano - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Catania - Casarano	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Casarano - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Monopoli - Casarano	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Casarano - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWLT
- Potenza FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.04.26	Latina - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.03.26	Potenza - Salernitana	5:2 ✺
22.03.26	Trapani - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.03.26	Potenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.26	Potenza - Cavese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.25	Potenza - Casarano	3:1

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