Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente (Boca del Río)

Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	Aym Sports


	Piratas de Veracruz		Venados

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.60
	1.61	3.85	4.50	Watch
	1.57	4.53	5.40
	1.65	4.26	4.46	Watch
	1.52	4.45	5.30
	1.60	4.15	4.94	Watch
	1.56	4.10	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	4.19 ↑ (4.1)	4.83 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piratas de Veracruz
58.7%

Draw
22.1%

Venados
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

21.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piratas de Veracruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piratas de Veracruz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Piratas de Veracruz - Venados Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 14. Gonzalez R. 22. Garcia U. 3. Jaime Sanchez K. Y. 6. Cruz D. 7. Soto O. 8. Figueroa B. 28. Gamboa J. 25. Lajud Martinez D. 26. Clemente J. 9. Garcia F.	3. Perez S. (G) 31. Dominguez I. 34. Saucedo S. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 14. Montiel S. 30. Torres M. 13. Ochoa Brandon 10. Dominguez A. (C) 5. Naveda S. 8. Kilani P. 29. Lora S.
Substitutes
19. Doumbouya I. 18. Enciso A. 16. Fernandez C. 24. Gomez J. (G) 10. Lopez G. 17. Ochoa E. 15. Palomares R. 13. Sanchez D. 21. Vargas E. 23. Venegas J.	32. Aguilar M. 18. Amador K. 17. Arroyo L. 23. Castellanos R. (G) 20. Cruz J. 9. Lazarte L. 16. Macias L. 7. Reyes J. 11. Tejeda D. 6. Torres E.
Coaches
Garcia M.	Castro N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Ochoa Brandon 🟨,
24', Lora S. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Gamboa J. ⚽,
40', Soto O. (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Saucedo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ochoa Brandon ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
46', Torres M. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
46', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
52', Garcia F. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Jaime Sanchez K. Y. (Own goal),
58', Moreno Villegas J. A. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
59', Garcia F. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Clemente J. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Fernandez C. 🟨,
65', Saucedo S. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
72', Naveda S. ↓, Amador K. ↑,
76', Soto O. 🟨,
77', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Doumbouya I. ↑,
77', Figueroa B. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
80', Garcia U. 🟨,
84', Soto O. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
84', Clemente J. ↓, Palomares R. ↑,
87', Dominguez A. 🟥,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this matchup, Piratas is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16:10	6	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piratas de Veracruz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.09.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Piratas de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Piratas de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Cancún	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético La Paz - Piratas de Veracruz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTLL
- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
12.09.26	Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jaiba Brava - Venados	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Tlaxcala - Venados	3:1 ✺
20.08.26	Venados - Dorados	4:2 ✺
14.08.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL

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