The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cangzhou Mighty Lions 31.7%
Draw 26.7%
Qingdao Hainiu 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
26.5%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
26.2%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cangzhou Mighty Lions's form might have worsened.
Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Hainiu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cangzhou Mighty Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cangzhou will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao Hainiu: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Shao Puliang (C) 15. Wang Peng 3. Sunzu S. 16. Zheng Kaimu 7. Zheng Dalun 19. Zhukov G. 8. Zhao Yingjie 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber
28. Mou Pengfei (G) 16. Li Hailong 33. Liu Jiashen 5. Sha Yibo (C) 24. Xu Dong 30. Zhong Jinbao 25. Wang Chien-Ming 10. Kangwa E. 20. Diego L. 7. Saric E. 11. Boakye M.
Substitutes
26. Guo Yunqi 29. Han Feng (G) 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 27. Ma Fuyu 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 11. Tudi Dilyimit 17. Wen Da 36. Yang Yun 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X.
13. Cao Zheng (G) 12. Chen Chunxin 17. Hu Jinghang 21. Jiang Ning 14. Li Suda 6. Liu Weicheng 22. Liu Zhenli (G) 32. Long Wei 8. Ma Xingyu 18. Wang Zihao 15. Xu Yang 27. Zheng Long
Coaches
Zhao Junzhe
Petrov Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Diego L. ⚽, Saric E. (A),
42', Boakye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Wen Da ↑,
77', Zhukov G. 🟨,
80', Wang Chien-Ming ↓, Chen Chunxin ↑,
81', Sun M. ↓, Sun Qinhan ↑,
85', Zheng Dalun ↓, Yao X. ↑,
90', Diego L. ↓, Long Wei ↑,
90+5', Chen Chunxin 🟥,
90+7', Mou Pengfei 🟨,
90+7', Kangwa E. ↓, Zheng Long ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 2.
Cangzhou is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Qingdao Hainiu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Qingdao Hainiu will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Cangzhou won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.
China
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Shao Puliang (C) 
Sunzu S. 
Zhukov G. 
Sun M. 
Taty Maritu O. 
Solomon-Otabor V. 
Heber 
Wang Chien-Ming 
Saric E. 
Boakye M. 
Petrov Y. 
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