The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cantolao 25%
Draw 26%
Bentín Tacna Heroica 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
24.6%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
24.2%
55.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cantolao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bentín Tacna Heroica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bentín Tacna Heroica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
12. Bettocchi R. (G) 10. Ardiles R. 3. Baylon F. 9. Calero A. 24. Delgado V. 20. Gomez J. 8. Lara J. 25. Laura A. (C) 7. Lopez Y. 16. Ramos J. 30. Ruiz C.
12. Pretel L. (G) 28. Chavez L. 31. Enciso S. 30. Fajardo J. (C) 29. Garcia J. 27. Kaufman M. 34. Malpartida M. 7. Palomino K. 26. Rojas A. 22. Santillan Vargas E. M. 3. Suarez R.
Substitutes
15. Cordova J. 80. Falcon L. 27. Gonzales P. 18. Jimenez J. 11. Oliva G. 22. Pacheco M. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 17. Rodriguez D. 32. Taype S.
15. de la Cruz P. 13. Diaz L. 9. Laura K. 6. Leon P. 5. Ricra D. 2. Sainz O. 1. Sotillo M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Malpartida M. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Laura A. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
45+1', Delgado V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ramos J. ↓, Oliva G. ↑,
46', Suarez R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
46', Garcia J. ↓, Ricra D. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Lopez Y. ⚽,
54', Enciso S. 🟨,
57', Lara J. 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Enciso S. ⚽,
64', Ardiles R. 🟨,
66', Ardiles R. ↓, Pacheco M. ↑,
73', Calero A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
76', 🟨,
85', Lara J. ↓, Cordova J. ↑,
90', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
Cantolao is Liga 2 (Relegation Group )
Cantolao is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Tacna Heroica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Tacna Heroica is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cantolao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.