Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		Sport Huancayo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.85	Watch
	1.93	3.51	3.8
	1.91	3.74	3.66	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.7
	1.77	3.58	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.16)	3.51 ↑ (3.33)	3.96 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
50.1%

Draw
26.5%

Sport Huancayo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.

Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Huancayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cajamarca will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campos A. (C) 35. Paredes G. 2. Duarte B. 3. Ganoza M. 13. Caro D. 8. Dioses D. 16. Figuera A. 22. Camacho D. 10. Lliuya M. 19. Munoz A. 9. de Jesus M.	12. Zamudio A. (G) 28. Rostaing J. 4. Barreda J. 26. Gaona M. 2. Angeles H. 38. Villar E. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 7. Campodonico R. 10. Lujan N. 23. Magallanes P. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
88. Arce L. 11. Arroyo A. 29. Barrios I. (G) 15. Cantt J. 6. Cavagna F. 18. Galvez S. 5. Huerto J. 7. Nunez J. 14. Rasmussen M.	99. Caballero F. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 8. Carabano D. 16. Falconi J. 19. Huaccha R. 9. Martinez J. 92. Murillo Y. 1. Sandi M. (G) 6. Villar L.
Coaches
Bustos C.	Pellejero R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Gaona M. (A),
41', 1 - 1, de Jesus M. ⚽, Caro D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Pellejero R. 🟨,
62', Villar E. ↓, Carabano D. ↑,
63', Mena Y. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
68', Ganoza M. 🟨,
70', Camacho D. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
73', Campodonico R. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
77', Dioses D. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
77', Paredes G. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
81', Caro D. ↓, Huerto J. ↑,
81', Munoz A. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
81', Lujan N. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
82', Magallanes P. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Duarte B. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
90+1', 2 - 2, Caballero F. ⚽, Angeles H. (A),
90+3', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
90+4', Rostaing J. 🟨,
90+5', Huerto J. 🟨,
90+8', Rostaing J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Cajamarca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Serra P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Huancayo: Murillo Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Garro L. (Injury) Medina J. (Broken Hand)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sport Huancayo	11	7	1	3	17:13	4	22
18	Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	11:24	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWL
- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.26	Sport Huancayo - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sport Boys - Sport Huancayo	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Moquegua - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sport Huancayo - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
09.11.25	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	0:3
04.07.25	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	1:0
02.11.24	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	1:1
25.05.24	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	1:1
30.06.23	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	0:0
12.05.23	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	5:1
14.08.22	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	4:0

Upcoming Matches