Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 1

Date: 22 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	7.5	5	1.36	Watch
	7	4.5	1.34
	7.7	4.9	1.36
	7.93	4.83	1.37
	8	4.4	1.33
	8	4.95	1.37	Watch
	7.4	4.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.65 ↑ (6.39)	4.77 ↑ (4.44)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
12.1%

Draw
19.5%

Sporting Cristal
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

20.3%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Cantolao - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cantolao will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Limousin C. (C) 28. Salas S. 3. Sanchez A. 18. Acosta M. 30. Huerto J. 7. Vergara H. 26. Vargas J. 5. Guarderas R. 27. Velasco S. 20. Ramirez D. 14. Regalado I.	12. Solis R. (G) 29. Loyola N. 5. Lutiger R. 14. Ignacio 32. Diaz L. 8. Sosa L. 25. Tavara G. 21. Ascues A. 20. Grimaldo J. 9. Marlos Brenner 10. Hohberg A. (C)
Substitutes
24. Delgado V. 55. Duclos F. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 29. Lojas S. 50. Lozada J. (G) 10. Medrano A. 8. Ramirez L. 22. Sanchez C. 19. Tamariz A.	30. Alarcon J. 31. Alcedo F. 36. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 11. Avila I. 4. Chavez G. 7. Corozo W. 13. Duarte A. (G) 3. Otoya D. 6. Pretell Panta J. E.
Coaches
Taffarel A.	Nunes T.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 0.

Cantolao is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sporting Cristal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sporting Cristal is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
10.06.23	Cantolao - Deportivo Municipal	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Atlético Grau - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
26.05.23	Cantolao - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	ADT Tarma - Cantolao	1:1 ✺
16.05.23	Cantolao - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTTT
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
11.06.23	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.06.23	The Strongest - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
01.06.23	Sporting Cristal - Cienciano	4:2 ✺
28.05.23	Sport Huancayo - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.23	Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
25.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	2:0
06.08.22	Cantolao - Sporting Cristal	2:2
13.03.22	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	2:2
17.07.21	Cantolao - Sporting Cristal	2:4
28.11.20	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	3:2
31.08.20	Cantolao - Sporting Cristal	2:6
08.09.19	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	1:1

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