Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Caracas		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.8	Watch
	5.25	3.4	1.7
	5.5	3.4	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.73
	5.43	3.21	1.77
	5.25	3.4	1.75
	5	3.48	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↓ (7.2)	3.36 ↓ (4.13)	1.74 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
18.2%

Draw
27.9%

Boca Juniors
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

22.5%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

13%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	9.5%	76.2%

Caracas - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.20	Caracas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
23.02.20	Trujillanos - Caracas	0:0 ✺
16.02.20	Caracas - Zulia	4:0 ✺
08.02.20	Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	Caracas - Estudiantes de Mérida	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWWW
- Boca Juniors
Colombian Primera B
01.03.20	Unión Magdalena - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.20	Colón - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
23.02.20	Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
23.02.20	Boca Juniors - Llaneros de Guanare	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
19.02.20	Boca Juniors - Leones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWTT

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