Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	The Strongest		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.8
	2	3.25	3.8
	2.1	3.1	3.55
	2.14	3.19	3.93
	2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.28	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.84)	3.22 ↓ (3.45)	3.73 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
45.7%

Draw
29.2%

Athletico Paranaense
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for The Strongest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	23.5%	35.3%

The Strongest - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for The Strongest: 24.7% – 57.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The Strongest is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Athletico PR is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The Strongest will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches The Strongest won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams The Strongest won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.04.22	The Strongest - Real Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	The Strongest - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.04.22	Universitario de Sucre - The Strongest	0:1 ✺
20.04.22	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:1 ✺
17.04.22	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWT
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.22	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.22	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Tocantinópolis - Athletico Paranaense	2:5 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.04.22	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.04.22	Athletico Paranaense - The Strongest	1:0
08.04.14	The Strongest - Athletico Paranaense	2:1
13.02.14	Athletico Paranaense - The Strongest	1:0

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