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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 56.4%
Draw 22.6%
Charlton Athletic 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
23.6%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
25%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Cardiff City - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. (C) 5. Bielik K. 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 27. Colwill J. 11. Tanner O. 8. Moylan J. 16. Willock C. 9. Salech Y.
13. Okonkwo A. (G) 20. McNamara D. 5. Jones L. (C) 44. Bindon T. 18. Mesik I. 6. Coventry C. 34. Skipp O. 19. Alli M. 9. Grant K. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 44. Kpakio R. 48. Lawlor D. 43. Moreno P. 47. Robinson C. 23. Scanlon C. 33. Tankiewicz R. 14. Turnbull D. 30. Tyrer H. (G)
17. Bell A. 21. Brooks T. (G) 14. Carey S. 3. Edwards J. 23. Kelman C. 8. Knibbs H. 35. Nkeng J. 16. Ouma T. 26. Rankin-Costello J.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.
Jones N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Salech Y. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Salech Y. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
27', Robertson A. 🟨,
29', 2 - 1, Campbell T. ⚽, Bindon T. (A),
33', Tanner O. 🟨,
35', McNamara D. 🟨,
45+5', Bagan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alli M. ↓, Bell A. ↑,
46', Bindon T. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
51', Skipp O. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
62', Willock C. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
70', Tanner O. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
70', Coventry C. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
82', Moylan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
82', Osho G. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
83', Leaburn M. ↓, Carey S. ↑,
83', McNamara D. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
90+4', Mesik I. 🟨,
90+4', Ashford C. 🟨,
90+6', Colwill J. 🟨,
90+6', Barry-Murphy B. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 21st and 6th in the Promotion ~ Championship PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1.
Cardiff is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Charlton have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Cardiff is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Cardiff: Chambers C.
(Knee Injury)
Davies I.
(Injury)
Fish W.
(Hernia)
Lawlor D.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Charlton: Chalobah N.
(Muscle Injury)
Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Godden M.
(Muscle Injury)
Koumetio B.
(Muscle Injury)
Mannion W.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ramsay K.
(Ankle Injury)
Sichenje C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Cardiff: Colwill R.
(Health problems).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cardiff against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
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Trott N. (G) 
Bielik K. 
Osho G. 
Bagan J. 
Robertson A. 
Colwill J. 
Salech Y. 
Bindon T. 
Mesik I. 
Campbell T. 
Turnbull D. 
Kelman C. 
Nkeng J. 
Ouma T. 
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