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Current Win Probability
Charlton Athletic 29.5%
Draw 28.7%
Queens Park Rangers 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
28.3%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
28.4%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlton Athletic's form might have worsened.
Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Queens Park Rangers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.5%
10.5%
78.9%
Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). QPR will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 60.6% – 97.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
13. Okonkwo A. (G) 18. Mesik I. 5. Jones L. (C) 44. Bindon T. 17. Bell A. 6. Coventry C. 34. Skipp O. 9. Grant K. 14. Carey S. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M.
1. Charles P. (G) 2. Adamson K. 3. Dunne J. (C) 5. Edwards R. 48. Lamptey T. 20. Vale H. 18. Kamara G. 24. Madsen N. 11. Smyth P. 15. Lloyd A. 16. Burrell R.
Substitutes
19. Alli M. 21. Brooks T. (G) 8. Knibbs H. 38. Laqeretabua J. 33. Mbick M. 32. Mwamba A. 35. Nkeng J. 16. Ouma T. 26. Rankin-Costello J.
23. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 19. Cirkin D. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 27. Mbengue A. S. 4. Morrison L. 25. Obikwu J. 33. Scarlett L. 40. Varane J. 13. Ward C. (G)
Coaches
Jones N.
Stephan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Lamptey T. ↓, Cirkin D. ↑,
45+3', Stephan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leaburn M. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
48', Dunne J. ↓, Clarke-Salter J. ↑,
65', Carey S. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
74', Adamson K. 🟨,
76', Clarke-Salter J. 🟨,
79', Adamson K. ↓, Mbengue A. S. ↑,
79', Smyth P. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
79', Lloyd A. ↓, Scarlett L. ↑,
85', Skipp O. ↓, Mwamba A. ↑,
88', Campbell T. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
Charlton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
QPR is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
QPR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Charlton has had a series of away games.
QPR might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Charlton: Chalobah N.
(Muscle Injury)
Godden M.
(Muscle Injury)
Mannion W.
(Shoulder Injury)
McNamara D.
(Red Card)
Ramsay K.
(Ankle Injury)
Sichenje C.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in QPR: Dembele K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Charlton: Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kelman C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Koumetio B.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in QPR: Kemper B.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
QPR: 3.11% Charlton: 0.75%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
QPR
9
3
5
1
11:8
3
14
11
Charlton
9
3
4
2
8:11
-3
13
Last Results with these Odds
Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.