Match Info

League One - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)


	Cardiff City		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.8	4.18	4.42
	1.83	4.04	3.61	Watch
	1.74	3.8	4.87	Watch
	1.71	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	3.95 ↓ (4.04)	4.41 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
54.5%

Draw
24%

Mansfield Town
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cardiff City - Mansfield Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 2. Fish W. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 14. Turnbull D. 45. Ashford C. 47. Robinson C. (C) 39. Davies I. 22. Salech Y.	1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 4. Hewitt E. 25. Reed L. (C) 15. McDonnell J. 3. McLaughlin S. 8. Lewis A. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
12. Chambers C. 27. Colwill J. 8. Kellyman O. 44. Kpakio R. 4. Osho G. 18. Robertson A. 16. Willock C.	7. Akins L. 9. Bowery J. 6. Cargill B. 14. Dwyer D. 36. Goodman J. 12. Mason O. (G) 21. McAdam K.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Knoyle K. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Fish W. ⚽, Bagan J. (A),
40', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', McLaughlin S. ↓, Cargill B. ↑,
61', Davies I. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
62', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
62', Robinson C. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
62', Robinson C. 🟨,
67', Hewitt E. ↓, Akins L. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Salech Y. ⚽, Kpakio R. (A),
75', Reed L. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
75', Evans W. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
80', Turnbull D. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Ashford C. ⚽,
90', Salech Y. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League One
22.11.25	Northampton Town - Cardiff City	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Cardiff City - Arsenal U21	3:1 ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Blackpool - Cardiff City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Peterborough United - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Wrexham - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW
- Mansfield Town
English League One
22.11.25	Mansfield Town - Huddersfield Town	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Northampton Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.11.25	Huddersfield Town - Mansfield Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
English League One
28.10.25	Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
16.01.18	Mansfield Town - Cardiff City	1:4
06.01.18	Cardiff City - Mansfield Town	0:0

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