The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 34.6%
Draw 24.8%
Norwich City 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
28.2%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
27.5%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norwich City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norwich City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
15%
55%
Cardiff City - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Norwich will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%). Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 33.2% โ 76.8%.
1. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 38. Ng P. (C) 40. Anyadike N. 3. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 14. Turnbull D. 39. Davies I. 27. Colwill J. 16. Willock C. 47. Robinson C.
32. Grimshaw D. (G) 3. Stacey J. 15. McConville R. 28. Bruno Alves 13. Yongwa D. 16. Wright J. 7. Mattsson P. (C) 49. Musaba A. 29. Schwartau O. 8. Gibbs L. 30. Kvistgaarden M.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 10. Colwill R. 46. Giles L. 43. Moreno P. 8. Moylan J. 9. Salech Y. 23. Scanlon C. 33. Tankiewicz R. 30. Tyrer H. (G)
11. Brooks A. 17. Crnac A. 6. Darling H. 26. Field S. 35. Fisher K. 1. Kovacevic V. (G) 23. McLean K. 46. Mundle Smith E. 20. Slimane A.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.
Clement P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Kvistgaarden M. ⚽, Wright J. (A),
27', Ng P. 🟨,
33', Davies I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Musaba A. ↓, Brooks A. ↑,
46', Schwartau O. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
50', Mattsson P. 🟨,
53', Anyadike N. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
61', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Crnac A. ↑,
61', Yongwa D. ↓, Fisher K. ↑,
67', Turnbull D. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
68', Davies I. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
68', Robinson C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
70', Bruno Alves ↓, Darling H. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Crnac A. ⚽, Stacey J. (A),
84', Colwill R. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Salech Y. ⚽,
90+3', Willock C. ↓, Tankiewicz R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1.
Cardiff is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Norwich's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Norwich has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cardiff: Chambers C.
(Knee Injury)
Fish W.
(Hernia)
There will not play in Norwich: Ahmed A.
(Knee Injury)
Gibbs L.
(Muscle Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Ankle Injury)
Makama J.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Lawlor D.
(Injury)
Osho G.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Norwich: Crnac A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
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Iceland
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Trott N. (G) 
Kpakio R. 
Bagan J. 
Robertson A. 
Turnbull D. 
McConville R. 
Bruno Alves 
Yongwa D. 
Mattsson P. (C) 
Musaba A. 
Brooks A. 
Crnac A. 
Kovacevic V. (G) 
Slimane A. 
Clement P. 
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