Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Ground (Nottingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	02:30	Stan Sport
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	20:30	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
China	00:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:30	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	18:30	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 6
Georgia	20:30	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	00:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	18:30	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	16:30	SÝN Sport
India	22:00	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	23:30	Vidio
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Italy	18:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Max
Japan	01:30	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	19:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	00:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	21:30	Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	10:30	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Myanmar	23:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	22:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	17:30	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Poland	18:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Voyo
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	00:30	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
South Africa	18:30	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	23:30	AIS PLAY
Turkey	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
International	16:30	Sport 24 Extra


	Nottingham Forest		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.5
	1.75	3.8	4.8
	1.76	3.88	4.8
	5.13	3.11	1.83	Watch
	1.84	3.81	4.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.78)	3.68 ↑ (3.67)	4.14 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
44.3%

Draw
29.5%

Sunderland
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.1%	14.3%	19.6%

Nottingham Forest - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 37 - 66.1%). Sunderland will win (votes: 11 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 53.7% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Nottingham (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Nottingham (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (2.09) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 10.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 3. Williams N. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 35. Zinchenko O. 16. Dominguez N. 8. Anderson E. 29. Bakwa D. 24. McAtee J. 14. Ndoye D. 11. Wood Ch. (C)	22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 20. Mukiele N. 15. Alderete O. 26. Masuaku A. 11. Rigg C. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 7. Talbi C. 18. Isidor W. 28. Le Fee E.
Substitutes
23. Cunha 10. Gibbs-White M. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 21. Hutchinson O. 19. Igor Jesus 13. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 6. Sangare I. 22. Yates R.	24. Adingra S. 5. Ballard D. 9. Brobbey B. 6. Geertruida L. 12. Mayenda E. 4. Neil D. 13. O'Nien L. 1. Patterson A. (G) 25. Traore B.
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Sadiki N. 🟨,
31', Masuaku A. 🟨,
36', Dominguez N. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Alderete O. ⚽, Xhaka G. (A),
38', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dominguez N. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
49', Williams N. 🟨,
59', Rigg C. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
59', Masuaku A. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
60', McAtee J. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
60', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
72', Bakwa D. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
75', Le Fee E. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
82', Anderson E. 🟨,
85', Isidor W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
85', Talbi C. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
90', Wood Ch. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

Recent form of Nottingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sunderland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Murillo (Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Betis - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Burnley - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.25	Swansea City - Nottingham Forest	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
21.09.25	Sunderland - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Sunderland - Huddersfield Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Burnley - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.24	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	1:1
English League Championship
30.12.17	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1
12.09.17	Sunderland - Nottingham Forest	0:1

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