Match Info

Cymru South - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Cardiff Draconians		Treowen Stars

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.35	4.95
	1.51	4.59	4.79
	1.47	4.66	5.48	Watch
	1.62	4.32	4.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	4.48 ↓ (4.66)	4.95 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Draconians
60.8%

Draw
20.6%

Treowen Stars
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

19.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

18.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff Draconians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Cardiff Draconians - Treowen Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Green L. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Jenkins C. ⚽,
21', 1 - 2, Manga M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 2 - 2, Bowen D. ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, Bridgeman L. ⚽,
69', 3 - 3, Green L. ⚽,
74', 4 - 3, Treharne H. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

Cardiff Draconians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Treowen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Treowen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cardiff Draconians is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Cambrian United - Cardiff Draconians	5:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Llantwit Major - Cardiff Draconians	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWW
- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars	3:4 ✺
11.10.25	Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Pontypridd United - Treowen Stars	5:2 ✺
27.09.25	Treowen Stars - Caerau Ely	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLLL

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