Match Info

Cymru South - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Cardiff Draconians		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	2.98
	2.19	3.26	2.98
	1.88	3.68	3.70	Watch
	2.13	3.4	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)	3.44 ↓ (3.68)	3.16 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Draconians
44.3%

Draw
26.7%

Trethomas Bluebirds
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Draconians's form might have worsened.

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff Draconians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Cardiff Draconians - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Bowen D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', 2 - 0, Cawley S. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Amin D. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 9).

Cardiff Draconians is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trethomas Bluebirds's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cardiff Draconians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cardiff Draconians has had a series of away games.

Cardiff Draconians will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Llantwit Major - Cardiff Draconians	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Afan Lido - Cardiff Draconians	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWT
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.25	Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ynyshir Albions	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTTW

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