Match Info

Cymru South - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Treowen Stars		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.72
	3.76	3.84	1.74
	3.51	3.96	1.86	Watch
	4.16	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.64)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
24.1%

Draw
23.7%

Caerau Ely
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.1%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Treowen Stars aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Treowen Stars - Caerau Ely Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Redhead O. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, Maher Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 0 - 3, Redhead O. ⚽,
70', 0 - 4, Kimmins M. ⚽,
78', 0 - 5, Bishop L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

Recent form of Treowen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Caerau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Caerau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caerau is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
12.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Treowen Stars - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Ammanford - Treowen Stars	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Treowen Stars - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTLL
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
17.09.25	Caerau Ely - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWW

Upcoming Matches