Match Info

Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Treowen Stars		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.35	1.41
	5.89	4.46	1.44
	4.56	4.30	1.60	Watch
	6.16	4.3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.63 ↑ (4.68)	4.35 ↑ (4.14)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
16.3%

Draw
21.1%

Aberystwyth Town
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

21.8%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.3%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 0 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
48', 1 - 1, Hartland C. ⚽,
69', Richards I. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Green L. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Evans J. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Evans J. ⚽,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

Treowen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Aberystwyth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Treowen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aberystwyth is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
03.10.25	Pontypridd United - Treowen Stars	5:2 ✺
27.09.25	Treowen Stars - Caerau Ely	0:5 ✺
12.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Treowen Stars - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTTT
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cardiff Draconians - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Carmarthen Town - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLTL

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