Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: USW Sports Park (Pontypridd)


	Pontypridd United		Treowen Stars

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.05	4.05
	1.64	4.21	4.17
	3.32	3.44	2.07	Watch
	1.57	4.15	4.55
	1.6	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.7)	3.97 ↓ (4.1)	3.77 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
49.8%

Draw
24.4%

Treowen Stars
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.3%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

21.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontypridd United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Pontypridd United - Treowen Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Davies C. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Selway H. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Hillman T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 3 - 1, Veale J. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, Edwards E. ⚽,
63', 4 - 2, Green L. ⚽,
70', 5 - 2, Johnson S. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Pontypridd is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Pontypridd United - Cardiff Draconians	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLL
- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.25	Treowen Stars - Caerau Ely	0:5 ✺
12.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Treowen Stars - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Ammanford - Treowen Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTTL

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