Match Info

Cymru South - Round 8

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Newport City		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.07	3.59	2.91
	2.19	3.72	2.92	Watch
	2.02	3.5	2.85
	2.05	3.54	2.95
	2.04	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.95)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.91 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
43.5%

Draw
25.5%

Trethomas Bluebirds
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

Trethomas Bluebirds has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Newport City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Newport City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Newport City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Newport City	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Llanelli - Newport City	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Newport City - Newport County	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWL
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
04.09.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerphilly Athletic	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
09.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	1:0
10.10.25	Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1
03.01.25	Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:2
01.11.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	2:1

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