Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.45
	1.86	3.7	3.55
	1.57	4.13	5.07	Watch
	1.82	3.85	3.85
	1.83	3.55	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.1)	3.77 ↑ (3.55)	3.86 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
51.7%

Draw
24.4%

Ammanford
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trethomas Bluebirds's performance.

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ammanford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trethomas Bluebirds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ammanford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Hood J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 1, Giardelli A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trethomas Bluebirds will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ynyshir Albions	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Llantwit Major - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Ammanford - Treowen Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
24.01.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1
10.08.24	Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3

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