Match Info

National League - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
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Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
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Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
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Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5
	1.57	3.9	4.6
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.56	4.4	5.3
	1.47	4.29	6.13	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5
	1.57	4.05	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	4.07 ↑ (3.93)	5.17 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
59.4%

Draw
22.7%

Braintree Town
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Carlisle United - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Braintree will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 20%). Braintree (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 10. Linney R. 11. Luamba J. 26. Mugabi B. 4. Thomas T. (C) 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.	1. Terry M. (G) 14. Akinde J. 11. Cooper C. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 20. Hubbard F. 4. Langston G. (C) 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 23. Smith K. 15. Smith T. 6. Vennings J. 9. Walker L.
Substitutes
7. Ajiboye D. 5. Feeney M. 24. Grant J. 9. Kelly G. 25. Lewis H. (G) 37. Macadam H. 17. Robson E.	16. Babic G. 19. Hockey F. 10. Judge A. 18. Kamara S. 5. Omrore M. 24. Terry F. 39. Thorpe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Linney R. ⚽, Wearne S. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Langston G. (Own goal),
33', Hubbard F. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Cooper C. ↓, Thorpe E. ↑,
46', Smith K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Linney R. (Pen),
55', Francis-Clarke A. 🟨,
57', Thorpe E. 🟨,
65', Armstrong L. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
65', Wearne S. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
65', 4 - 0, Linney R. ⚽, Harper C. (A),
66', Vennings J. ↓, Hockey F. ↑,
67', Akinde J. ↓, Judge A. ↑,
70', Linney R. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,
71', Mugabi B. ↓, Feeney M. ↑,
79', Luamba J. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
80', 5 - 0, Ellis J. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),

Preview

Carlisle is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Braintree's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.

We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
23.08.25	Wealdstone - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Carlisle United - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Woking - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Chester - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTWW
- Braintree Town
English National League
23.08.25	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
20.08.25	Boreham Wood - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Braintree Town - Leicester City U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Braintree Town - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWW

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