Match Info

National League - Round 17

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Carlisle United		Halifax Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.75
	1.62	4.05	4.65
	1.63	4.15	4.92
	1.54	4.13	5.38	Watch
	1.59	3.84	4.77
	1.6	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	4.05 ↓ (4.13)	4.9 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
58.1%

Draw
22.9%

Halifax Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.5%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Carlisle United - Halifax Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Carlisle (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlisle United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Feeney M. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 11. Luamba J. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 9. Kelly G. 10. Linney R.	1. Johnson S. (G) 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Hobson S. 16. Mills J. 11. Capello A. 4. Hugill W. 27. Turner-Cooke J. 17. Bray O. 8. Hmami J. 10. Cooke J. 9. Harris W.
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 18. Ellis J. 24. Grant J. 25. Lewis H. (G) 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C. 22. Williams J.	3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 23. Crowe D. 31. Devonport O. 12. Ford N. (G) 20. Jenkins J. 30. Johnson C. 19. Warburton A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Thomas T. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Luamba J. ⚽, Linney R. (A),
41', Cooke J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Luamba J. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),
71', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
72', Hmami J. ↓, Warburton A. ↑,
72', Cooke J. ↓, Crowe D. ↑,
73', Bray O. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
84', Turner-Cooke J. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
87', Linney R. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
90', Wearne S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Carlisle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Halifax's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.

We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Including home match between the teams, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Reading - Carlisle United	2:3 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Carlisle United - Boston United	5:2 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWWW
- FC Halifax Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Halifax Town - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Halifax Town - York City	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Halifax Town - Leeds United U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Truro City - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Southport - Halifax Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.21	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	3:0

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