Match Info

National League - Round 39

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	11:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	11:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Boston United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.6	3.95
	1.79	4.03	4.04
	1.8	3.72	4.06	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4
	1.83	3.46	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)	3.63 ↓ (3.91)	4.06 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
51.8%

Draw
25.5%

Boston United
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

25.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Carlisle United - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 31. Atkinson H. 26. Mugabi B. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 16. Wearne S. 20. Gilliead A. 10. Linney R. 37. Macadam H. 7. Ajiboye D. 29. Armstrong L.	21. Cameron D. (G) 4. Teale C. 20. Rooney J. 23. Grimes J. (C) 15. Carson M. 26. Gallagher O. 19. Richards J. 7. Barrington L. 10. Maguire F. 16. Hiwula J. 18. Cursons T.
Substitutes
38. Conn-Clarke C. 18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 4. Thomas T. 8. Whelan C.	24. Aboh K. 9. Hazel J. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 17. Lankshear A. 40. Lavinier M. 1. Lovett R. (G) 6. Sloggett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', Cameron D. 🟨,
20', Teale C. 🟨,
23', Richards J. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Hiwula J. ⚽, Maguire F. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Maguire F. ⚽, Barrington L. (A),
45+3', Galvin R. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Rooney J. 🟨,
52', Rooney J. ↓, Sloggett G. ↑,
61', Maguire F. 🟥,
62', 2 - 2, Linney R. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Cursons T. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
68', Barrington L. ↓, Lavinier M. ↑,
68', Hiwula J. ↓, Lankshear A. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, Lankshear A. (Own goal),
74', Sloggett G. 🟨,
80', Feeney M. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
82', 4 - 2, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Armstrong L. (A),
86', Galvin R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
86', Atkinson H. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
89', 5 - 2, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
90+1', Wearne S. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
90+1', Armstrong L. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
90+8', 6 - 2, Mugabi B. ⚽, Linney R. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boston United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Carlisle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Carlisle is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25:21	4	20
21	Boston Utd	15	4	3	8	19:28	-9	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Carlisle: 3.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Hartlepool United - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWL
- Boston United
English National League
14.03.26	Boston United - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Boston United - Woking	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boston United	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Boston United - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.11.25	Boston United - Carlisle United	1:2
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Carlisle United - Boston United	5:2

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