Match Info

National League - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: The Shay (Halifax)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Halifax Town		York City

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.73
	4.15	3.75	1.75
	4.23	3.87	1.77
	3.27	3.67	2.01	Watch
	4.41	3.66	1.76
	3.25	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.27)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)	1.84 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
23.8%

Draw
25.3%

York City
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.3%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

26.5%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Halifax Town - York City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Halifax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (C) 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Hobson S. 16. Mills J. 4. Hugill W. 8. Hmami J. 27. Turner-Cooke J. 17. Bray O. 9. Harris W. 10. Cooke J. 11. Capello A.	1. Male H. (G) 23. Felix J. 2. Fallowfield R. 5. Howe C. (C) 3. Kitching M. 18. Batty D. 21. Boateng H. 12. Grey J. 8. Hunt A. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 31. Devonport O. 12. Ford N. (G) 20. Jenkins J. 32. Smith O. 29. Tarima S. 19. Warburton A.	28. Banks O. 14. Brookes B. 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 22. Olley G. 9. Stones J. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Harris W. ⚽, Bray O. (A),
33', Felix J. 🟨,
38', Grey J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Fallowfield R. ↓, Fagan-Walcott M. ↑,
64', Hunt A. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
64', Felix J. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
65', Bray O. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
66', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Alimi-Adetoro A. ↑,
79', Hmami J. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽,
90+1', Kitching M. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
90+3', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, York is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Halifax won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Halifax Town - Leeds United U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Truro City - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Southport - Halifax Town	1:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Halifax Town - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Rochdale - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWW
- York City
English National League
21.10.25	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	York City - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Hartlepool United - York City	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	York City - Scunthorpe United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.02.25	York City - Halifax Town	2:2
26.10.24	Halifax Town - York City	1:2
02.04.24	Halifax Town - York City	1:1
28.10.23	York City - Halifax Town	1:1
10.04.23	York City - Halifax Town	0:3
04.10.22	Halifax Town - York City	1:0
Club Friendly
01.08.15	Halifax Town - York City	2:0

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