The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlos Stein 35.1%
Draw 28.9%
Cajamarca 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
29.1%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
28.7%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Stein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Carlos Stein - Cajamarca Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Carlos Stein will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 14).
Carlos Stein has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cajamarca is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cajamarca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.