Match Info

Cymru South - Round 19

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Treowen Stars		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.15	4.05
	1.59	4.58	4.22
	1.65	4.16	4.51	Watch
	1.57	4	4
	1.6	4.2	4.21
	1.87	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.58)	4.12 ↓ (4.41)	4.08 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
55.4%

Draw
22.2%

Afan Lido
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

21%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Afan Lido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treowen Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Treowen Stars - Afan Lido Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Treowen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Treowen (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Treowen Stars will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Treowen (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Griffiths L. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Treowen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Afan Lido is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Treowen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Treowen is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Treowen will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Treowen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
20.03.26	Newport City - Treowen Stars	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Treowen Stars - Baglan Dragons	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Treowen Stars - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTLT
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
20.03.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Afan Lido - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
09.08.25	Afan Lido - Treowen Stars	0:4

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