Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday


	Carmelita		Puntarenas FC

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.29	3.15	2.7
	2.48	3.3	2.69
	2.46	3.2	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)	3.21 ↑ (3.14)	2.7 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
38.1%

Draw
28.3%

Puntarenas FC
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

33.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Puntarenas FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmelita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puntarenas FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carmelita - Puntarenas FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 1.

Carmelita is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Puntarenas is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Puntarenas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carmelita will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Carmelita won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.05.22	Puntarenas FC - Carmelita	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Liberia - Carmelita	0:2 ✺
01.05.22	Carmelita - Liberia	2:2 ✺
25.04.22	Aserrí - Carmelita	2:3 ET ✺
19.04.22	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWW
- Puntarenas FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.05.22	Puntarenas FC - Carmelita	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Santa Ana - Puntarenas FC	0:5 ✺
01.05.22	Puntarenas FC - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
23.04.22	Puntarenas FC - Uruguay de Coronado	6:2 ✺
17.04.22	Uruguay de Coronado - Puntarenas FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.05.22	Puntarenas FC - Carmelita	1:0
27.02.22	Carmelita - Puntarenas FC	3:3
16.01.22	Puntarenas FC - Carmelita	0:1
24.09.21	Puntarenas FC - Carmelita	2:0
07.08.21	Carmelita - Puntarenas FC	1:2
01.05.21	Carmelita - Puntarenas FC	0:5
24.04.21	Puntarenas FC - Carmelita	2:3

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