The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puntarenas FC 64.9%
Draw 21.7%
Santa Ana 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
27.4%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
24.1%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puntarenas FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puntarenas FC's performance.
Santa Ana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Ana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puntarenas FC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Ana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Puntarenas FC - Santa Ana Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Puntarenas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Santa Ana will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Moreira L. (C) 25. Gomez K. 15. Munoz H. 2. Roques J. 24. Ruiz J. 26. Mora A. 22. Castrillo D. 60. Leiva J. 30. Segura U. 10. Cole R. 9. Quiros D.
1. Pemberton P. (C) 2. Lopez L. 60. Corrales J. 55. Morera Alvarado G. M. 15. Chevez A. 21. Juarez F. 5. Fallas L. 14. Russell M. 44. Bonilla J. 95. Nixon Guylherme 17. Camareno J.
Substitutes
33. Barrera Apu G. (G) 11. Hernandez A. 8. Madrigal D. 4. Sanchez J. 20. Segura Murillo B. 14. Sinclair A. 36. Villalobos C.
33. Casado E. 29. Chavarria V. 6. Madrigal J. 28. Ortiz K. 35. Rojas D. (G) 39. Villalobos M. 12. Zuniga E.
Coaches
Alpizar C.
Salomon C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Castrillo D. ⚽,
37', Lopez L. ↓, Madrigal J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Camareno J. ↓, Casado E. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Leiva J. ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, Madrigal J. (Own goal),
58', Bonilla J. ↓, Villalobos M. ↑,
58', Juarez F. ↓, Chavarria V. ↑,
62', Castrillo D. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
72', Leiva J. ↓, Sinclair A. ↑,
72', Segura U. ↓, Segura Murillo B. ↑,
77', Nixon Guylherme ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
78', Quiros D. 🟨,
79', Quiros D. ↓, Villalobos C. ↑,
80', Ruiz J. ↓, Madrigal D. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puntarenas won 3.
Puntarenas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santa Ana's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Santa Ana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Puntarenas is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Puntarenas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Puntarenas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
Costa-rica
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Moreira L. (C) 
Munoz H. 
Nixon Guylherme 
Sanchez J. 
Casado E. 
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