The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carpi 18.1%
Draw 28.1%
Virtus Entella 53.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
27.8%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
27%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carpi's form might have worsened.
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Entella's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Entella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Carpi - Virtus Entella Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 3. Cecotti T. 6. Zagnoni D. 13. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 70. Campagna S. 24. Casarini F. 90. Figoli M. 20. Puletto F. 72. Cortesi M. 27. Gerbi E.
99. Siaulys O. (G) 23. Parodi L. 15. Marconi I. 6. Tiritiello A. 70. Bariti D. 47. Di Noia G. 24. Franzoni A. 14. Corbari A. 26. Di Mario S. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
11. Amayah P. 5. Calanca A. 30. Contiliano N. 32. Furghieri G. (G) 4. Mandelli A. 31. Mazzoni M. 23. Sall A. 10. Saporetti S. 7. Stanzani L. 22. Theiner D. (G) 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.
27. Boccadamo A. 10. Casarotto M. 40. Costa G. 11. Fall M. 8. Karic N. 21. Lipani J. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 7. Tomaselli G. 12. Torrielli E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Di Noia G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Corbari A. ⚽,
45+3', Casarini F. 🟨,
45+3', Guiu B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Guiu B. ⚽,
53', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
53', Di Noia G. ↓, Lipani J. ↑,
56', Puletto F. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
65', Panelli T. 🟨,
67', Gerbi E. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
71', Castelli D. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
71', Bariti D. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,
81', Rossini M. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
82', Zagnoni D. ↓, Calanca A. ↑,
82', Figoli M. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
83', Corbari A. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Casarotto M. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carpi won 1.
Recent matches Carpi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Virtus Entella in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Carpi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Carpi won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).